Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
