Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Walsall in this match.
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