Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
44.65% ( -0.47) | 24.73% ( 0) | 30.62% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 56.91% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( 0.21) | 45.99% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( 0.2) | 68.29% ( -0.2) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% ( -0.12) | 20.67% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.75% ( -0.19) | 53.25% ( 0.19) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( 0.43) | 28.26% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( 0.53) | 63.97% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.62% |
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