Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
-0.83) 
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