Walsall need points for playoffs but are shaky at home recently. Swindon are in good form but terrible away. The hosts' home record might hold, earning them a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Walsall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Walsall.