MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:53:37
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Tuesday, December 24
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League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
W

MK Dons
5 - 0
Walsall

Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Walsall

Both teams are aiming to be promoted out of League Two this season, and that makes matches like this crucially important, but can also lead to cautious displays. Considering they are each coming into this one on the back of poor performances, it could be a case of taking a point that is better than gambling for all three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWalsall
52.31% (-0.067 -0.07) 22.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)39.66% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)62.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)15.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)43.96% (0.064 0.06)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.31%
    Walsall 25.17%
    Draw 22.51%
MK DonsDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 25.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Salford City
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Barrow
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 2-0 Walsall
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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