Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
