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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Welling United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Bath City |
40.89% ( 0.11) | 27% ( -0.04) | 32.11% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.22% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( 0.14) | 54.93% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( 0.11) | 76.21% ( -0.12) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( 0.12) | 26.41% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( 0.16) | 61.58% ( -0.17) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( 0.02) | 31.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( 0.03) | 68.17% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.11% |
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