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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Welling United |
59.46% ( 0.3) | 21.32% ( -0.13) | 19.22% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.31) | 41.44% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.15% ( 0.32) | 63.84% ( -0.32) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( 0.19) | 13.59% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.29% ( 0.38) | 40.71% ( -0.39) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0) | 35.23% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( -0) | 71.98% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.23% Total : 59.46% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.22% |
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