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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Welling United |
53.31% ( -0.36) | 23.57% ( 0.22) | 23.13% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( -0.79) | 46.45% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( -0.75) | 68.73% ( 0.75) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% ( -0.42) | 17.37% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.23% ( -0.74) | 47.77% ( 0.74) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.71% ( -0.31) | 34.29% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.01% ( -0.34) | 70.99% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.13% |
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