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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 67.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
67.92% ( 0.02) | 16.67% ( -0.01) | 15.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 65.47% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0.02) | 25.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.08% ( 0.02) | 45.92% ( -0.03) |
| West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.95% ( 0.01) | 7.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.24% ( 0.02) | 25.75% ( -0.03) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0) | 29.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.41% ( -0) | 65.58% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.28% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 67.92% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 15.4% |
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