SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.15%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s |
23.9% ( -0.05) | 20.94% ( -0.07) | 55.16% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 64.53% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.59% ( 0.27) | 33.4% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.81% ( 0.32) | 55.18% ( -0.33) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( 0.12) | 26.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( 0.16) | 61.64% ( -0.17) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( 0.11) | 12.24% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.05% ( 0.26) | 37.94% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 55.16% |
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