Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-21s win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
45.7% ( -0.04) | 22.47% ( 0.02) | 31.83% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 65.74% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.33% ( -0.08) | 34.67% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.38% ( -0.08) | 56.62% ( 0.08) |
West Ham United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.26% ( -0.05) | 15.74% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.15% ( -0.09) | 44.85% ( 0.09) |
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.03% ( -0.02) | 21.97% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.73% ( -0.03) | 55.27% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United Under-21s | Draw | Nottingham Forest Under-21s |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 45.7% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 31.83% |
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