SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
45.49% ( -0.11) | 23.07% ( 0.05) | 31.44% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0.23) | 37.83% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( -0.25) | 60.08% ( 0.24) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( -0.13) | 17.05% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.79% ( -0.24) | 47.21% ( 0.23) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( -0.08) | 23.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( -0.11) | 57.86% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.2% Total : 45.49% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.44% |
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