SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Westerlo |
53.28% ( 10.73) | 21.71% ( -2.43) | 25.02% ( -8.29) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( 2.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.06% ( 6.3) | 35.94% ( -6.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.97% ( 6.61) | 58.03% ( -6.6) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( 6.4) | 13.65% ( -6.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.16% ( 11.42) | 40.84% ( -11.41) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( -2.26) | 27.01% ( 2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( -3.06) | 62.37% ( 3.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.62) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.63)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.91)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 1.56)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 1.42)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.81)4-1 @ 3.16% ( 1.24)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 1.04)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.72)5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.64)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.52)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.28% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( -1.52) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -1.27)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.71% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -1.48) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -2.1)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -1.68)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.87)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.87)Other @ 3.88% Total : 25.02% |
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