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National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
2 - 0
Truro City

Sanders (38' og.), Brooks (64')
Thompson (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
WeymouthDrawTruro City
36.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 25.78% (0.075999999999997 0.08) 37.65% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)49.2% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.309 -0.31)71.26% (0.30600000000001 0.31)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.166 -0.17)26.14% (0.164 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-0.223 -0.22)61.22% (0.22000000000001 0.22)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (-0.197 -0.2)25.54% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (-0.27 -0.27)60.39% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 36.57%
    Truro City 37.65%
    Draw 25.77%
WeymouthDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 8.96% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.57%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-5 Bath City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 3-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Truro City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-2 Truro City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South


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