SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
53.26% ( 0.2) | 23.6% ( -0.08) | 23.14% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( 0.25) | 46.59% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( 0.23) | 68.86% ( -0.23) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( 0.17) | 17.44% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.11% ( 0.28) | 47.89% ( -0.28) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( 0.04) | 34.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( 0.04) | 71.06% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 23.14% |
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