SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Truro City win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Truro City |
60.4% ( -0.37) | 20.48% ( 0.15) | 19.11% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.72% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.27% ( -0.34) | 37.73% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.03% ( -0.37) | 59.97% ( 0.37) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% ( -0.21) | 12.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.26% ( -0.44) | 37.73% ( 0.44) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( 0.02) | 33.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% ( 0.03) | 69.76% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Truro City |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.08% Total : 60.4% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.11% |
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