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National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 5
Bath City

Thompson (33')
Brooks (78')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Frear (20', 60'), Wilson (32'), J. (36'), Cooke (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
WeymouthDrawBath City
43.94% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09) 25.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 30.27% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.24% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3% (0.118 0.12)50.7% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (0.104 0.1)72.6% (-0.104 -0.1)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)56.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.13500000000001 0.14)30.87% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.84% (0.158 0.16)67.16% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 43.94%
    Bath City 30.27%
    Draw 25.79%
WeymouthDrawBath City
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.94%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.21% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Weymouth
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 3-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-2 Worthing
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 3-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South


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