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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Welling United |
51.39% ( -0.16) | 24.15% ( 0.09) | 24.46% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.96% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.37% ( -0.29) | 47.63% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( -0.27) | 69.83% ( 0.27) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( -0.17) | 18.53% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.23% ( -0.29) | 49.77% ( 0.3) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( -0.09) | 33.76% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% ( -0.1) | 70.42% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.46% |
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