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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
3 - 1
Eastbourne

Bearwish (24'), Touray (39'), Roberts (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Holman (63')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawEastbourne Borough
39.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 34.57% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.39% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.87% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)59.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.031000000000006 0.03)27.65% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)63.19% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 39.54%
    Eastbourne Borough 34.57%
    Draw 25.89%
WeymouthDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.57%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Weymouth
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-3 Maidstone
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-3 Eastbourne
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-2 Welling United
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Eastbourne
Wednesday, September 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Weston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South


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