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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
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Wigan
1 - 2
Mansfield

Aasgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (29'), Baccus (62')
Akins (36'), Baccus (82'), Cargill (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Mansfield Town

Wigan are a solid defensive side, and it would not be surprising to see them hold out for another goalless draw on Tuesday night. However, Mansfield are one of the best attacking sides in the league, and we think this might influence the game, though we are predicting a draw in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
34.45% (0.661 0.66) 27.55% (0.206 0.21) 38% (-0.864 -0.86)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.699 -0.7)56.62% (0.701 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.564 -0.56)77.59% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.081999999999994 0.08)31.04% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.094999999999999 0.09)67.35% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.83500000000001 -0.84)28.84% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-1.055 -1.06)64.7% (1.057 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 34.45%
    Mansfield Town 38%
    Draw 27.55%
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Wigan
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 3-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Stevenage
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Bradford
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy


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