Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.55) 
