SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wigan Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wigan Athletic.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
28.47% ( 0.08) | 24.5% ( 0.48) | 47.03% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 56.37% ( -1.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( -2.1) | 46.1% ( 2.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( -2.02) | 68.4% ( 2.02) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -1.02) | 29.8% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.12% ( -1.25) | 65.88% ( 1.25) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( -1.07) | 19.69% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.3% ( -1.76) | 51.69% ( 1.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.32) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.13)Other @ 3% Total : 47.03% |
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