SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
58.68% ( -4.07) | 21.59% ( 1.27) | 19.73% ( 2.81) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( -1.17) | 41.95% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.65% ( -1.19) | 64.35% ( 1.19) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( -1.57) | 13.99% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.5% ( -3.19) | 41.5% ( 3.19) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( 2.4) | 35% ( -2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( 2.44) | 71.75% ( -2.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.63)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.82)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.4)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.61)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.24)5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.33)Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.33)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.59% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.62) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.73% |
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