SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
37.96% ( -0.08) | 25.13% ( -0) | 36.9% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.73% ( 0.01) | 46.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( 0.01) | 68.55% ( -0.02) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.04) | 24.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.05) | 58.28% ( 0.05) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( 0.05) | 24.59% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.91% ( 0.07) | 59.09% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 37.96% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
