SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Exeter City |
23.79% ( -0.07) | 22.89% ( -0.01) | 53.31% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( -0.03) | 42.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.03) | 65.2% ( 0.03) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.08) | 31.7% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% ( -0.09) | 68.12% ( 0.09) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.02) | 16.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% ( 0.04) | 45.39% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 23.79% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.31% |
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