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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Crawley Town |
28.78% ( -0.07) | 23.5% ( -0.04) | 47.71% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( 0.13) | 41.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( 0.14) | 63.78% ( -0.14) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( 0.02) | 27.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( 0.02) | 62.57% ( -0.03) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( 0.09) | 17.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.88% ( 0.16) | 48.11% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 28.78% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.71% |
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