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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnet in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Barnet |
29.32% ( -0.68) | 24.17% ( 0.09) | 46.5% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0.78) | 44.15% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( -0.77) | 66.53% ( 0.76) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.85) | 28.21% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( -1.09) | 63.91% ( 1.09) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.86% ( -0.07) | 19.13% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.22% ( -0.11) | 50.77% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.5% |
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