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National League | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Huish Park Stadium
R

Yeovil
0 - 1
Rochdale


Jarvis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McBride (90+1')
Allarakhia (41'), Henry (48'), Ferguson (90+5'), Beckwith (90+8')
Coverage of the National League clash between Yeovil Town and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 3-1 Yeovil
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Forest Green
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawRochdale
34.66% (-0.267 -0.27) 26.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 39.28% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)50.58% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.058 -0.06)72.5% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)27.93% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.45% (-0.248 -0.25)63.55% (0.251 0.25)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.11199999999999 0.11)25.29% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (0.152 0.15)60.05% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 34.66%
    Rochdale 39.28%
    Draw 26.05%
Yeovil TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.28%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gateshead 3-1 Yeovil
Saturday, August 24 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Yeovil
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 0-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Weston 0-2 Yeovil
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Buckland Athletic 0-5 Yeovil
Tuesday, July 30 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Forest Green
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 0-3 Rochdale
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 5-2 Salford City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Avro 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3


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