Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.01) 
