Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Salford City
29.15% ( -0.47)	24.21% ( 0.03)	46.64% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 57.81% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-0.41)

44.42% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

-0.4)

66.79% (

0.4)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

-0.53)

28.46% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

-0.67)

64.23% (

0.66)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

0.01)

19.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

0.02)

50.86% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 29.15%

Salford City 46.64%

Draw 24.2%

Rochdale	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.15%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.64%