SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
29.15% ( -0.47) | 24.21% ( 0.03) | 46.64% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -0.41) | 44.42% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -0.4) | 66.79% ( 0.4) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.53) | 28.46% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( -0.67) | 64.23% ( 0.66) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.01) | 19.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( 0.02) | 50.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.64% |
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