SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
47.92% ( -3.33) | 21.85% ( 0.61) | 30.23% ( 2.73) |
| Both teams to score 67.16% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.55% ( -1.09) | 32.45% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.92% ( -1.28) | 54.09% ( 1.29) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( -1.44) | 14.13% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.22% ( -2.9) | 41.78% ( 2.91) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( 1.08) | 21.79% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.01% ( 1.62) | 54.99% ( -1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.41)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.38)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.32)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.22)4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.48) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.45% Total : 30.23% |
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