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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.91% ( 2.04) | 21.37% ( 0.05) | 32.71% ( -2.08) |
| Both teams to score 70.41% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.23% ( -1.01) | 28.77% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.31% ( -1.25) | 49.69% ( 1.26) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( 0.28) | 13.42% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.63% ( 0.56) | 40.37% ( -0.56) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -1.46) | 18.67% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.99% ( -2.5) | 50.01% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.39)1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.16)4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.21)3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.53% Total : 32.71% |
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