Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
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