SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 56.8%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
56.8% ( 0.23) | 20.7% ( 0.1) | 22.49% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.09% ( -0.92) | 33.9% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.24% ( -1.05) | 55.75% ( 1.04) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% ( -0.24) | 11.94% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.68% ( -0.5) | 37.31% ( 0.49) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.79) | 27.85% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.54% ( -1.02) | 63.46% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 22.49% |
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