Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
