SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 57.33%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.83%) and 3-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
57.33% ( 0.82) | 18.46% ( -0.08) | 24.2% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 74.72% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.4) | 20.75% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.85% ( -0.57) | 39.15% ( 0.57) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.28% ( 0.04) | 7.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.52% ( 0.1) | 27.48% ( -0.1) |
| Consadole Sapporo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.97% ( -0.68) | 19.03% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.39% ( -1.14) | 50.61% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Consadole Sapporo |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)5-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)5-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.07% Total : 57.33% | 2-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.46% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.2% |
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