SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
42.09% ( 0.13) | 25.63% ( -0.05) | 32.28% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( 0.17) | 49.28% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.15) | 71.33% ( -0.15) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( 0.14) | 23.26% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( 0.2) | 57.18% ( -0.2) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.02) | 28.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.35% ( 0.03) | 64.65% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.28% |
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