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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
2 - 0
Botev Plovdiv

Mulahusejnovic (39'), Kis (83')
Mlinar (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nachukwu (28'), Christian Bernat (34'), Tamm (52'), Karabelyov (70'), Perera Calderon (90+7')
Conte (41')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Botev Plovdiv.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zrinjski Mostar in this match.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawBotev Plovdiv
70.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 17.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 12.14% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.93% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)59.19% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)9.34% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Botev Plovdiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.39% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.9% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)78.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 70.59%
    Botev Plovdiv 12.14%
    Draw 17.27%
Zrinjski MostarDrawBotev Plovdiv
2-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.32%
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.97%
6-0 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 70.59%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.27%
1-2 @ 3.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 12.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bravo 1-3 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 1 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 0-1 Bravo
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 2-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 0-4 Panathinaikos
Thursday, August 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Maribor 2-2 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 18 at 7.15pm in Europa League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: APOEL 2-0 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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