SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 73.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | St Louis City |
73.39% ( 0) | 15.81% ( 0.01) | 10.79% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.06) | 33.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.56% ( -0.07) | 55.43% ( 0.07) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.12% ( -0.02) | 7.88% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.1% ( -0.04) | 27.89% ( 0.04) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.4% ( -0.06) | 41.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.92% ( -0.05) | 78.08% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club America | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.89% 5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 73.38% | 1-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.81% | 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 10.79% |
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