SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Club America had a probability of 36.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Club America win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Club America |
39.62% ( -6.03) | 23.65% ( 0.89) | 36.72% ( 5.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.81% ( -2.96) | 39.18% ( 2.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.48% ( -3.17) | 61.51% ( 3.16) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( -3.72) | 20.08% ( 3.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( -6.34) | 52.32% ( 6.33) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( 1.38) | 21.48% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.48% ( 2.08) | 54.52% ( -2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Club America |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.5) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.57)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.88)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.51)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.72)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.63)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.41)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.48)Other @ 3.08% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.57)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.82) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 1.11)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 1.03)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.57)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.61)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.73% |
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