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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Nashville SC |
61.75% ( 0.12) | 21.66% ( -0.05) | 16.59% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% ( 0.08) | 47.24% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.53% ( 0.08) | 69.47% ( -0.08) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.23% ( 0.07) | 14.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.99% ( 0.13) | 43.01% ( -0.13) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.3% ( -0.04) | 41.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.82% ( -0.04) | 78.17% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.59% |
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