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Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Lower.com Field
N

Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Nashville

Ramirez (30'), Rossi (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Anunga (46'), Yearwood (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Nashville SC

With both teams having won two of their last three games, this is a difficult one to predict, particularly when Nashville have started to impress on their travels. However, we are backing Columbus Crew to come through in a tight game, perhaps through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawNashville SC
61.75% (0.123 0.12) 21.66% (-0.052 -0.05) 16.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.76% (0.083999999999996 0.08)47.24% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (0.076999999999998 0.08)69.47% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.065999999999988 0.07)14.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (0.127 0.13)43.01% (-0.128 -0.13)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)41.7% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)78.17% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 61.74%
    Nashville SC 16.59%
    Draw 21.66%
Columbus CrewDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 61.74%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.39% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New England 1-5 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Kansas
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, June 15 at 1.40am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 3-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, June 2 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Orlando City 0-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 NY City
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Nashville
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 New England
Sunday, June 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville
Thursday, May 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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