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Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
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Philadelphia
3 - 0
Nashville

Gazdag (10', 39', 89')
Lowe (2'), Uhre (20'), Elliott (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Muyl (60'), Bauer (67'), Godoy (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Nashville SC

Only Inter Miami have seen their matches produce more goals than Philadelphia Union this term, and we could be in for another goal fest this weekend. That said, we can also see the teams cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
58.34% (3.43 3.43) 22.05% (-0.883 -0.88) 19.61% (-2.548 -2.55)
Both teams to score 54.15% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.586 0.59)44.17% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (0.567 0.57)66.55% (-0.569 -0.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (1.349 1.35)14.83% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (2.515 2.52)43.14% (-2.518 -2.52)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-2.18 -2.18)36.42% (2.177 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-2.267 -2.27)73.2% (2.265 2.27)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 58.34%
    Nashville SC 19.61%
    Draw 22.05%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.84% (0.646 0.65)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.341 0.34)
3-0 @ 6.26% (0.678 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.293 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.445 0.45)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.064 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.159 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.214 0.21)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.482 -0.48)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.536 -0.54)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.427 -0.43)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.209 -0.21)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 4-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-1 Nashville
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Thursday, July 4 at 1.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 NY City
Sunday, June 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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