SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Nashville SC |
51.6% ( -0.05) | 23.74% ( -0.06) | 24.66% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( 0.34) | 45.68% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( 0.32) | 68% ( -0.33) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.11) | 17.72% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( 0.19) | 48.38% ( -0.19) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.28) | 32.54% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( 0.31) | 69.07% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.66% |
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