Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jalisco
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 30.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
| Result |
| Atlas | Draw | Cruz Azul |
39.4% ( 0.21) | 30.34% ( 0.09) | 30.26% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 40.54% ( -0.3) |
| 33.35% ( -0.32) | 66.65% ( 0.31) |
| 14.97% ( -0.22) | 85.03% ( 0.21) |
| 66.94% ( -0.04) | 33.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.35% ( -0.04) | 69.65% ( 0.04) |
| 60.57% ( -0.41) | 39.43% ( 0.41) |
