Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cruz Azul in this match.
