Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
