Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 35.61%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (12.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
