SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Pachuca |
41.49% ( 1.67) | 24.52% ( 0.34) | 33.99% ( -2.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.02% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% ( -1.99) | 43.82% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( -1.98) | 66.21% ( 1.98) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.07) | 21.2% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( -0.1) | 54.08% ( 0.1) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( -2.05) | 25.1% ( 2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( -2.92) | 59.79% ( 2.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.68)2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.45)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.99% |
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